SlenderMan
0xab19716584931d81cd9e7763402673a64baa4876
- Realised P&L
- $-224.2k
- Volume
- $70.08M
- Markets traded
- 448
- Open portfolio
- $364.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded448
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.22Mat 0.047Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$43.3kat 0.088US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$33.0kat 0.070Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$32.2kat 0.031Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$28.2kat 0.998Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.3k |
| 09-16 13:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $6.6k |
| 09-14 13:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.989 | $2.2k |
| 09-01 04:10 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $328.61 |
| 09-01 01:06 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $298.20 |
| 09-01 01:06 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $109.12 |
| 08-31 15:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $198.40 |
| 08-27 12:16 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $20.8k |
| 08-26 00:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $399.52 |
| 08-25 23:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $34.3k |
| 08-19 20:50 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $274.63 |
| 08-19 19:30 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.9k |
| 08-19 19:27 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.3k |
| 08-19 19:27 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9964720459 | $1.4k |
| 08-19 19:27 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.5k |