PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SlenderMan

0xab19716584931d81cd9e7763402673a64baa4876

Realised P&L
$-286.6k
Volume
$67.68M
Markets traded
428
Open portfolio
$208.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded428
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8980.875$165.8k$4.4k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · No0.8880.945$16.5k+$994.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.7210.860$13.3k+$2.2k
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4630.455$4.2k$76.60
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.6940.885$3.8k+$818.99
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8600.925$2.9k+$203.57
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.810$1.3k+$30.91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.655$410.44+$97.13
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.585$244.05$47.98
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.790$68.41+$1.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 14:11Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?BUY0.997$37.31
07-29 14:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.113$201.65
07-28 21:31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.6050191839$1.1k
07-27 15:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.509$500.30
07-27 14:10US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.504$8.03
07-27 14:03US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.504$7.04
07-27 13:01US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.507$284.07
07-27 12:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.5099003729$843.67
07-22 17:38Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.952$569.71
07-21 23:58US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.91$5.3k
07-21 23:31Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.983$13.1k
07-18 09:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.86$4.3k
07-18 08:56Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.96$9.08
07-17 11:58Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY0.9849901366$15.7k
07-17 09:30US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.85$2.6k