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Traders

SlenderMan

0xab19716584931d81cd9e7763402673a64baa4876

Realised P&L
$-203.2k
Volume
$71.62M
Markets traded
461
Open portfolio
$374.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded461
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.825$116.3k−$637.09
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.6820.805$75.9k+$11.6k
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.6850.715$57.2k+$2.4k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.8330.905$34.1k+$2.7k
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.8410.845$19.8k+$99.92
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.8800.885$17.7k+$100.02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4690.895$15.5k+$7.4k
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.9070.940$11.1k+$386.22
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.945$9.4k+$250.00
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7070.940$6.0k+$1.5k
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7540.935$3.9k+$758.98
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? · No0.8800.945$3.8k+$261.38
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4600.890$1.2k+$565.95
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.875$752.19+$47.28
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? · No0.9200.950$567.61+$17.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:42NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?SELL0.95$1.3k
11-01 16:40NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?SELL0.9790622931$4.9k
10-29 01:042026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.34$2.1k
10-27 12:46Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$25.79
10-20 11:35NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.86$1.2k
10-20 11:34NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7418619807$2.7k
10-20 11:33NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.76$930.77
10-13 12:09Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.958$983.71
10-08 01:33Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.968$2.1k
09-30 09:27Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0400678887$51.35
09-30 09:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.96$2.3k
09-23 15:50Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?SELL0.996$2.1k
09-21 11:18NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.71$10.3k
09-21 11:17NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.83$12.9k
09-16 18:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.999$2.3k
Trader SlenderMan · PolyBot Pro