SlenderMan
0xab19716584931d81cd9e7763402673a64baa4876
- Realised P&L
- $-203.2k
- Volume
- $71.62M
- Markets traded
- 461
- Open portfolio
- $374.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded461
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.4kat 0.022No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
- +$43.3kat 0.088US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$33.0kat 0.070Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$32.2kat 0.031Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$31.9kat 0.883NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:42 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.3k |
| 11-01 16:40 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.9790622931 | $4.9k |
| 10-29 01:04 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.34 | $2.1k |
| 10-27 12:46 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $25.79 |
| 10-20 11:35 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.2k |
| 10-20 11:34 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7418619807 | $2.7k |
| 10-20 11:33 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $930.77 |
| 10-13 12:09 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $983.71 |
| 10-08 01:33 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $2.1k |
| 09-30 09:27 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0400678887 | $51.35 |
| 09-30 09:26 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $2.3k |
| 09-23 15:50 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.1k |
| 09-21 11:18 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $10.3k |
| 09-21 11:17 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $12.9k |
| 09-16 18:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.3k |