Potchopper13
0xaaa3a1224bd7b0bd8c509cf69760591dc2842c1f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $56.6k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $11.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.70at 0.050Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
- +$74.00at 0.260US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$36.02at 0.419Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
- +$27.60at 0.400Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
- +$27.28at 0.523Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-23 11:18 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.0416061867 | $21.13 |
| 03-23 11:15 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | SELL | 0.0622556891 | $9.74 |
| 03-23 11:14 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | SELL | 0.017 | $1.04 |
| 03-23 11:14 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | SELL | 0.053 | $2.02 |
| 03-23 11:14 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | SELL | 0.057800312 | $2.22 |
| 03-23 11:14 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | SELL | 0.11 | $6.11 |
| 03-15 15:20 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.6877150428 | $107.59 |
| 03-15 15:10 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.0190769662 | $107.60 |
| 03-14 21:42 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.058 | $258.06 |
| 03-14 11:11 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.071 | $35.50 |
| 03-13 19:57 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0630765148 | $39.91 |
| 03-10 22:19 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | BUY | 0.005 | $24.94 |
| 03-09 09:59 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.27 |
| 03-08 22:43 | Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $62.10 |
| 03-08 19:21 | Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.4195174214 | $26.08 |