PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Alwayszies

0xaa803922cd225e677c16c939129eb31c5863e4b8

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$38.9k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4730.425$1.2k−$132.18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2500.161$406.21−$227.06
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1780.079$221.76−$282.68
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0400.032$115.93−$31.28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1600.165$74.97+$2.27
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.2200.200$2.68−$0.27
Will New York Jets draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft? · Yes0.9330.000$0.00−$50.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$35.87
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$150.00
Maduro mugshot released by January 16? · Yes0.2120.000$0.00−$150.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026 · Yes0.3980.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$100.00
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$50.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$96.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 16:42Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?BUY0.2199999985$2.95
09-19 16:41Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5552184355$937.06
09-15 04:42Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3427140267$364.81
07-15 01:41Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2008875025$300.00
07-08 14:36Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.16$72.70
07-08 14:35Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0725229578$100.00
06-20 23:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.13$168.07
05-27 21:12Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.25$196.48
05-02 07:21Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1729999986$100.00
05-02 07:19Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?BUY0.0357142857$50.00
04-26 22:48Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026BUY0.4002062447$100.00
04-26 22:47Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026BUY0.3923553484$50.00
04-25 05:09Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.261999995$33.34
04-25 05:09Netanyahu out by June 30?SELL0.06$33.33
04-25 05:08Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.261999998$74.23