Alwayszies
0xaa803922cd225e677c16c939129eb31c5863e4b8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $38.9k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$577.71at 0.638US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$237.32at 0.670Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$225.70at 0.470Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.62at 0.939Will New York Jets draft Omar Cooper Jr. in the 2026 pro football draft?
- +$-61.70at 0.170Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:42 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $2.95 |
| 09-19 16:41 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5552184355 | $937.06 |
| 09-15 04:42 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3427140267 | $364.81 |
| 07-15 01:41 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2008875025 | $300.00 |
| 07-08 14:36 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $72.70 |
| 07-08 14:35 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0725229578 | $100.00 |
| 06-20 23:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $168.07 |
| 05-27 21:12 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.25 | $196.48 |
| 05-02 07:21 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1729999986 | $100.00 |
| 05-02 07:19 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | BUY | 0.0357142857 | $50.00 |
| 04-26 22:48 | Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026 | BUY | 0.4002062447 | $100.00 |
| 04-26 22:47 | Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026 | BUY | 0.3923553484 | $50.00 |
| 04-25 05:09 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.261999995 | $33.34 |
| 04-25 05:09 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $33.33 |
| 04-25 05:08 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.261999998 | $74.23 |