PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAa7575ba25247c8eb4C23DFeB39b0237fb59a864-1749118418017

0xaa7575ba25247c8eb4c23dfeb39b0237fb59a864

Realised P&L
$39.3k
Volume
$3.60M
Markets traded
2,937
Open portfolio
$26.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,937
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7060.835$16.4k+$2.5k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6170.843$2.1k+$568.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.945$1.4k+$357.94
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.4470.855$1.3k+$602.50
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6400.855$1.3k+$315.62
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4030.835$1.0k+$521.93
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.4300.745$496.17+$209.79
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6750.815$347.99+$59.86
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.935$327.25+$103.25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7400.935$320.39+$66.82
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6280.847$299.97+$77.56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5800.879$204.92+$69.78
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9300.969$202.52+$8.15
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8800.945$194.67+$13.39
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6490.855$189.04+$45.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 17:48Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.789$74.95
07-14 20:00Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.979$9.79
07-07 01:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.58$464.00
07-05 20:52Exact Score: Any Other Score?SELL0.0121950751$4.06
07-05 20:51Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.028$9.32
07-05 20:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.998$339.32
06-30 01:24Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?BUY0.9662748092$126.58
06-28 03:55Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?SELL0.1$4.10
06-28 03:55Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY0.278$11.40
06-28 01:54Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsBUY0.9$99.90
06-28 01:54Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsBUY0.976$9.76
06-28 01:53 World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?BUY0.8161168235$318.28
06-27 22:02Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?BUY0.974$48.70
06-27 22:00Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL0.999$1.2k
06-27 02:13New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5BUY0.951$214.93