0xAa7575ba25247c8eb4C23DFeB39b0237fb59a864-1749118418017
0xaa7575ba25247c8eb4c23dfeb39b0237fb59a864
- Realised P&L
- $39.3k
- Volume
- $3.60M
- Markets traded
- 2,937
- Open portfolio
- $26.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,937
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.4kat 0.433Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-01?
- +$5.1kat 0.732US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$4.2kat 0.779Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$3.8kat 0.774Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$3.7kat 0.758Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 17:48 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.789 | $74.95 |
| 07-14 20:00 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.979 | $9.79 |
| 07-07 01:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $464.00 |
| 07-05 20:52 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | SELL | 0.0121950751 | $4.06 |
| 07-05 20:51 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.028 | $9.32 |
| 07-05 20:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.998 | $339.32 |
| 06-30 01:24 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? | BUY | 0.9662748092 | $126.58 |
| 06-28 03:55 | Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.10 |
| 06-28 03:55 | Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.278 | $11.40 |
| 06-28 01:54 | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.9 | $99.90 |
| 06-28 01:54 | Lionel Messi: 3+ goals | BUY | 0.976 | $9.76 |
| 06-28 01:53 | World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? | BUY | 0.8161168235 | $318.28 |
| 06-27 22:02 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $48.70 |
| 06-27 22:00 | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 06-27 02:13 | New Zealand vs. Belgium: New Zealand O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.951 | $214.93 |