TaylorSchifff
0xaa6801e4ac3b4d6acb8d8700ca20af73be3f94a7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $990.1k
- Markets traded
- 918
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded918
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.251Will Conor McGregor win his UFC 257 match on January 23?
- +$1.8kat 0.377Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.583Will another candidate win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$1.7kat 0.713Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$1.6kat 0.738St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 19:48 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.72 | $360.00 |
| 09-06 21:58 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.38 | $114.00 |
| 08-31 20:48 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.989 | $246.14 |
| 08-30 22:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.9568627537 | $326.70 |
| 08-26 11:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $930.00 |
| 08-12 03:08 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.50 |
| 08-12 02:47 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $39.00 |
| 08-12 02:44 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.499 | $9.98 |
| 08-12 02:44 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.526 | $10.52 |
| 08-10 23:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $80.00 |
| 08-05 22:54 | Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 08-04 22:01 | Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | BUY | 0.761 | $152.19 |
| 08-02 21:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.09 | $20.79 |
| 08-02 21:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.9 | $270.00 |
| 07-30 20:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $160.00 |