PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rfsd

0xaa62619b3d8a1779d313911a21260f3f9ed5fe16

Realised P&L
$-29.18
Volume
$59.2k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$36.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 14:25Iran leadership change by November 30?BUY0.95$2.00
09-29 14:24 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.9099992538$1.00
09-29 14:24Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.95$2.00
09-29 14:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-29 14:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-29 14:23Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8599997764$1.00
09-29 14:23Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.7799995632$1.00
09-29 14:22Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-29 14:222026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-29 14:222026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.7$1.00
08-30 08:52Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.859999914$1.00
08-30 08:512026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.889999911$1.00
08-30 08:51Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999877$3.00
08-30 08:51Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$3.00
08-30 08:51Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$3.00