FrozenHarborline
0xaa4c0545bd371bea50635b55d9e122ecf80cf344
- Realised P&L
- $-906.08
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $678.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.880 | 0.885 | $245.85 | +$1.39 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No | 0.950 | 0.935 | $218.29 | −$3.50 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $192.70 | +$1.02 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.029 | $11.11 | −$2.23 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.034 | $9.53 | +$0.15 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.052 | $0.68 | −$0.01 |
| Raptors vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Raptors vs. Wizards · Raptors | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| 76ers vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Knicks vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Suns vs. Rockets · Suns | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Rockets vs. Nets · Nets | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Kings vs. Lakers · Kings | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.64at 0.038Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
- +$209.26at 0.060Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- +$204.32at 0.370Nuggets vs. Magic
- +$170.27at 0.37076ers vs. Knicks
- +$143.90at 0.410Raptors vs. Nets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:49 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.96 | $253.89 |
| 09-18 08:13 | Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $5.27 |
| 01-05 16:28 | Cavaliers vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 01-05 16:27 | Warriors vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.5299999946 | $40.00 |
| 01-05 16:26 | Nuggets vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 01-05 16:25 | Suns vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 01-05 16:24 | Hawks vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.4299999961 | $20.00 |
| 01-05 16:23 | Bulls vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 01-03 08:27 | Hornets vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.5399999964 | $60.00 |
| 01-03 08:26 | Hawks vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.5999999985 | $80.00 |
| 01-03 08:25 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.5999999985 | $80.00 |
| 01-03 08:24 | Timberwolves vs. Heat | BUY | 0.4499999989 | $80.00 |
| 01-02 09:47 | Magic vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.64 | $60.00 |
| 01-02 09:46 | Nets vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.4899999982 | $60.00 |
| 01-02 09:45 | Spurs vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.3099999948 | $40.00 |