0xaa4659900c0ae0a519e507360482945ed14c45ee
- Realised P&L
- $-38.74
- Volume
- $33.4k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $29.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 20? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.435 | $10.98 | −$3.15 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · No | 0.900 | 0.805 | $8.68 | −$1.02 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.032 | $3.62 | −$8.64 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.262 | 0.153 | $2.07 | −$1.48 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.842 | $1.26 | +$0.23 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.075 | $0.79 | −$3.21 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.059 | $0.55 | −$0.48 |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.245 | $0.45 | −$0.58 |
| OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.055 | $0.36 | −$0.69 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.026 | $0.27 | −$0.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$176.95at 0.32476ers vs. Celtics
- +$132.20at 0.270U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$95.02at 0.068Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals
- +$83.11at 0.269Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 6?
- +$64.83at 0.345Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 08:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.5599999968 | $14.13 |
| 09-20 08:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 20? | SELL | 0.5 | $9.04 |
| 09-20 08:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.5199999757 | $9.40 |
| 09-20 06:25 | Korea Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Sara Saito | SELL | 0.85 | $6.09 |
| 09-20 05:44 | Korea Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Sara Saito | BUY | 0.5299999498 | $3.80 |
| 09-20 05:43 | Singapore Open, Qualification: Nao Hibino vs Aoi Ito | BUY | 0.2699999846 | $2.81 |
| 09-20 05:26 | CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.001 | $2.77 |
| 09-20 05:22 | LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A | SELL | 0.1 | $2.79 |
| 09-20 05:07 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.25 | $6.55 |
| 09-20 04:56 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | SELL | 0.36 | $8.02 |
| 09-20 04:54 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.2099999933 | $4.68 |
| 09-20 04:51 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | SELL | 0.67 | $12.46 |
| 09-20 04:42 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.4699999919 | $8.74 |
| 09-20 04:32 | Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.01 | $2.77 |
| 09-20 04:28 | Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.77 |