PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaa4659900c0ae0a519e507360482945ed14c45ee

Realised P&L
$-38.74
Volume
$33.4k
Markets traded
239
Open portfolio
$29.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded239
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 20? · Yes0.5600.435$10.98$3.15
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · No0.9000.805$8.68$1.02
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1070.032$3.62$8.64
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2620.153$2.07$1.48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6900.842$1.26+$0.23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.075$0.79$3.21
Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat? · Yes0.1100.059$0.55$0.48
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.50$1.50
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · Yes0.5600.245$0.45$0.58
OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes0.1600.055$0.36$0.69
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1000.026$0.27$0.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 08:05Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 20?BUY0.5599999968$14.13
09-20 08:03Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 20?SELL0.5$9.04
09-20 08:02Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 20?BUY0.5199999757$9.40
09-20 06:25Korea Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Sara SaitoSELL0.85$6.09
09-20 05:44Korea Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Sara SaitoBUY0.5299999498$3.80
09-20 05:43Singapore Open, Qualification: Nao Hibino vs Aoi ItoBUY0.2699999846$2.81
09-20 05:26CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.001$2.77
09-20 05:22LoL: Fuego vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group ASELL0.1$2.79
09-20 05:07Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.25$6.55
09-20 04:56Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles AngelsSELL0.36$8.02
09-20 04:54Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.2099999933$4.68
09-20 04:51Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles AngelsSELL0.67$12.46
09-20 04:42Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.4699999919$8.74
09-20 04:32Miami Marlins vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.01$2.77
09-20 04:28Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.001$2.77