PolyBot

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Traders

Stibishimi

0xaa3eebe9b7c3770a56d85144f34df9e80b26f26c

Realised P&L
$176.59
Volume
$13.9k
Markets traded
166
Open portfolio
$163.36

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded166
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.905$55.29−$0.31
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6690.705$17.15+$0.86
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2430.154$15.60−$8.98
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1650.123$15.01−$4.99
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.6750.705$14.10+$0.60
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1590.034$11.35−$41.55
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8240.817$9.91−$0.09
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.4800.925$9.64+$4.64
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5400.845$7.79+$2.81
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes0.1110.017$4.84−$26.90
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? · No0.3200.425$2.66+$0.66
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.3290.001$0.01−$6.57
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3490.000$0.00−$3.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$5.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?BUY0.32$2.00
11-01 15:36Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.91$5.00
11-01 15:34Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.91$27.30
10-29 14:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?BUY0.8799999859$5.00
10-29 14:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.75$5.68
10-29 14:32Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
10-29 14:31Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.64$10.66
10-29 14:27Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9099999848$4.20
10-29 12:59Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.91$9.10
10-29 12:562026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.66$13.20
10-27 13:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?BUY0.96$10.00
10-27 13:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?BUY0.7899999905$10.00
10-27 13:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?BUY0.9299999284$10.00
10-15 11:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?BUY0.79$33.06
09-18 13:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.86$5.00