Stibishimi
0xaa3eebe9b7c3770a56d85144f34df9e80b26f26c
- Realised P&L
- $176.59
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $163.36
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.54at 0.488US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$68.89at 0.418US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$36.90at 0.180US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$35.85at 0.645Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$34.96at 0.470US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 15:36 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 15:34 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 10-29 14:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 14:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.75 | $5.68 |
| 10-29 14:32 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 14:31 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.64 | $10.66 |
| 10-29 14:27 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999848 | $4.20 |
| 10-29 12:59 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 10-29 12:56 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 10-27 13:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 13:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 13:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | BUY | 0.9299999284 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 11:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.79 | $33.06 |
| 09-18 13:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |