0xAa343a17581Bc1081A19B1038436C4EE907CC08e-1782678899096
0xaa343a17581bc1081a19b1038436c4ee907cc08e
- Realised P&L
- $311.35
- Volume
- $17.3k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $511.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.38at 0.673Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
- +$137.20at 0.100Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$77.42at 0.103Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?
- +$19.77at 0.114Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.11at 0.068Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:59 | Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 Süper Lig? | BUY | 0.68 | $19.04 |
| 09-13 21:32 | Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 18:52 | Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | SELL | 0.171 | $6.16 |
| 09-09 00:49 | Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 09-09 00:22 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 09-06 17:52 | Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.39 |
| 09-04 19:52 | Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | SELL | 0.0112662932 | $3.46 |
| 09-02 21:57 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.13 | $10.40 |
| 09-02 21:57 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.124587156 | $2.72 |
| 09-02 00:56 | Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-27 00:20 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.141 | $389.16 |
| 08-23 22:44 | Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 12:39 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.098 | $29.40 |
| 08-22 11:41 | Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | BUY | 0.107 | $3.85 |
| 08-21 21:53 | Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | BUY | 0.1896829971 | $6.58 |