0xAa343a17581Bc1081A19B1038436C4EE907CC08e-1782678899096
0xaa343a17581bc1081a19b1038436c4ee907cc08e
- Realised P&L
- $248.06
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $979.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.06at 0.111Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$13.80at 0.770Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
- +$8.26at 0.433Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$6.50at 0.350Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$2.17at 0.570Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 10:06 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.10 |
| 07-29 11:29 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 07-25 10:37 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.087 | $31.32 |
| 07-24 20:49 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.67 | $134.00 |
| 07-24 17:33 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.087121908 | $114.61 |
| 07-18 20:34 | Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | BUY | 0.9499999786 | $40.00 |
| 07-18 19:57 | Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | SELL | 0.159 | $6.31 |
| 07-16 23:50 | Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 07-16 23:42 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.584 | $1.59 |
| 07-16 23:42 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 07-15 11:39 | Will Justin Pearson be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09? | BUY | 0.91 | $46.41 |
| 07-14 18:07 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.225 | $4.50 |
| 07-11 19:01 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 10:35 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.065999939 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 17:39 | Will Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.071801254 | $3.78 |