PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaA297EAB8aBDD6b94E4b824AAC5A0717B6E75cD7-1779834617906

0xaa297eab8abdd6b94e4b824aac5a0717b6e75cd7

Realised P&L
$-27.22
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$0.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1400.021$0.31−$1.69
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.032$0.29−$0.71
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.023$0.29−$0.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$1.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026? · No0.0780.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Up0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 19? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 16:38Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
07-31 16:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
07-30 21:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
07-30 21:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-30 21:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.08$1.00
07-30 20:57Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.089999919$1.00
07-30 20:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-30 20:49Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.059999946$1.00
07-30 20:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSELL0.53$5.89
07-30 20:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.089999919$1.00
07-30 12:28Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.02$1.00
07-30 12:14NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-29 18:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?SELL0.6$1.43
07-29 18:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?SELL0.999$2.27
07-29 16:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.1099999032$1.00