0xa9d0b6af04a4567e73012ad0794259923b9d4e34
0xa9d0b6af04a4567e73012ad0794259923b9d4e34
- Realised P&L
- $-54.74
- Volume
- $247.64
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $2.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · No | 0.509 | 0.782 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16? · Up | 0.760 | 0.630 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.045 | $0.14 | −$1.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.67at 0.780Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
- +$2.21at 0.689Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?
- +$1.91at 0.351Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?
- +$1.83at 0.389Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$1.42at 0.420SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 08:27 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 00:27 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.5089998814 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 15:51 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 07:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 23:35 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2739999277 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:49 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:48 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:26 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:15 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 05:03 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:29 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:27 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:27 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:26 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:08 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |