namnamno
0xa9aee87297ec8aa6926d6d049d1a8569413abeb5
- Realised P&L
- $115.85
- Volume
- $47.1k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $37.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$302.13at 0.093Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
- +$202.71at 0.134US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$152.83at 0.530Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
- +$125.06at 0.810US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$98.44at 0.627Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:17 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | SELL | 0.92 | $60.52 |
| 09-12 16:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 22:15 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 05:53 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.759999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-02 17:45 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 17:25 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0068920532 | $1.57 |
| 08-22 17:25 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0364539265 | $3.21 |
| 08-22 16:23 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0067696662 | $1.60 |
| 08-22 16:21 | Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0148908169 | $5.00 |
| 08-22 16:20 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0061492943 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 14:48 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4597937962 | $90.86 |
| 08-10 20:44 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $80.17 |
| 08-07 14:10 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.4614901208 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 21:50 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.071999984 | $4.00 |
| 07-17 19:28 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5059999988 | $100.00 |