PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ScottNguyen2159

0xa9aeaedfb559e1f700f62df90d3068f3c9678598

Realised P&L
$558.55
Volume
$280.7k
Markets traded
262
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded262
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.920$612.72+$186.48
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka0.4700.500$440.50+$26.43
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · No0.9220.989$214.21+$14.41
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka0.7900.490$195.51$119.70
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7420.175$136.19$439.60
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6800.535$89.34$24.21
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI0.3600.061$52.58$255.22
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 84.50.3500.066$36.63$157.62
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.3300.155$0.62$0.70
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0810.011$0.04$0.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 08:57CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?SELL0.28$234.36
04-24 02:52CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?BUY0.28$234.36
04-21 03:01Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.58$294.64
04-13 16:26MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$25.52
04-13 09:10Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?SELL0.191$212.77
04-13 05:23Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.14$36.12
04-13 01:22Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?BUY0.197$219.46
04-13 01:04Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.14$36.12
04-13 00:14Will US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw?BUY0.719$854.89
04-12 21:54Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?SELL0.87$460.23
04-12 21:33Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?SELL0.88$88.00
04-12 21:31Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?SELL0.87$87.00
04-12 21:30Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?SELL0.86$644.14
04-12 21:29Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?SELL0.87$167.04
04-12 19:44Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?BUY0.45$58.95