PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa98635f52B68bB67D1E2f4659874B48681A130f6-1768406742773

0xa98635f52b68bb67d1e2f4659874b48681a130f6

Realised P&L
$-220.57
Volume
$26.5k
Markets traded
371
Open portfolio
$55.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded371
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.7190.716$35.78−$0.18
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.2300.225$11.25−$0.25
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.5200.440$8.80−$1.60
Will XRP dip to $1.15 on June 3? · No0.9220.000$0.00−$46.10
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20? · No0.8600.000$0.00−$43.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24? · No0.9600.000$0.00−$48.00
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 4? · No0.4600.000$0.00−$9.20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on June 3? · No0.9300.000$0.00−$46.50
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C or below on September 16? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 15:13Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.21$10.50
10-08 13:38Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.46$9.20
10-07 22:56Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.58$29.00
10-06 05:31Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.46$23.00
10-06 01:45US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?SELL0.09$1.80
10-06 00:05Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?SELL0.52$10.40
10-04 14:13Spain snap election called in 2026?SELL0.1714705882$5.83
10-03 16:54Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?SELL0.16$0.80
10-03 08:33Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.27$13.50
10-02 23:09Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.42$8.40
10-02 16:18Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.46$0.51
10-02 16:16Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.45$22.50
10-01 12:20Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.36$5.00
10-01 12:20Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.38$9.50
10-01 12:19Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?SELL0.4$8.00