hypancistrus
0xa96b0ff74c947ddbfd07bd72eb49a0626d6d27c4
- Realised P&L
- $75.62
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $54.19
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.45at 0.164Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?
- +$33.00at 0.055Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$16.21at 0.430Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
- +$13.52at 0.270Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?
- +$11.00at 0.450US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 17:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 10-27 21:13 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 10-27 21:05 | Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $10.62 |
| 07-26 10:16 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 07-26 10:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.798 | $7.98 |
| 06-11 18:53 | Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $4.80 |
| 06-04 14:51 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 06-04 14:46 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.833 | $8.33 |
| 06-03 20:07 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.957 | $9.57 |
| 06-03 20:04 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0259999974 | $9.96 |
| 05-16 19:16 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.458 | $7.33 |
| 05-16 19:15 | Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 03-31 15:46 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 03-30 18:45 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 03-30 15:33 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | BUY | 0.055 | $5.50 |