PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PapaTompred

0xa96794dd3c8458127be204e57ca99a23b3d49871

Realised P&L
$-337.21
Volume
$47.7k
Markets traded
1,219
Open portfolio
$37.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,219
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.4600.665$7.23+$2.23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.3800.375$4.94−$0.07
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4110.376$4.58−$0.43
Will Jayden Daniels have 749.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7500.870$2.49+$0.34
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.095$2.42−$2.67
Will Michigan State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · U 4.50.5800.615$2.11+$0.12
Will Jayden Reed have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.4900.810$1.65+$0.65
Will Justin Jefferson have 1,549.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.8100.935$1.15+$0.15
Will Texas State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.4200.475$1.14+$0.13
Will Iowa State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.3800.405$1.08+$0.07
Will Virginia have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.4000.425$1.06+$0.06
Will LSU have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.8000.795$0.99−$0.01
Will Georgia Tech have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.6100.915$0.99+$0.33
Will Kyle Monangai have 449.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7600.710$0.93−$0.07
Will Colorado have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes0.7200.620$0.86−$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 20:05Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.2799999889$1.01
09-23 18:02LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4$1.00
09-23 14:53Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-23 13:56Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-23 09:34Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.2999999703$1.01
09-23 07:16LoL: ZSK vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group DBUY0.8$1.00
09-23 06:14LoL: Solary vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group DBUY0.2099999938$1.02
09-23 03:59Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.410999967$5.01
09-23 02:42Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.2099999848$2.35
09-22 20:13Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.2099999801$2.11
09-22 16:51LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Lodis - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.8$5.00
09-22 16:09LoL: Barça eSports vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-22 16:09LoL: Barça eSports vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.27$0.10
09-22 16:03LoL: Barça eSports vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-22 09:39Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.4499998425$1.00