PolyBot

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Traders

0xa957344E7186c1D5AbE5B689FD2BC6553Ad550e4-1782453823960

0xa957344e7186c1d5abe5b689fd2bc6553ad550e4

Realised P&L
$-273.50
Volume
$16.9k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.3500.395$338.57+$38.57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1700.165$291.18−$8.82
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6200.610$245.97−$4.03
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1970.255$221.79+$50.30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.6820.645$174.99−$10.01
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6400.585$100.55−$9.45
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.3970.286$93.82−$36.18
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9? · Yes0.3250.585$54.01+$24.01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.1200.055$45.86−$54.14
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? · Yes0.1740.060$44.83−$85.17
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.2700.200$28.89−$10.11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1690.156$18.34−$1.53
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by December 31? · Yes0.4400.180$2.05−$2.95
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? · No0.1100.026$1.93−$6.07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$240.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 12:57Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.6199999992$250.00
10-05 12:51Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?BUY0.3249336856$30.00
10-04 07:06Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?SELL0.66$99.94
10-02 00:13US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.1099999996$8.00
10-02 00:11Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group StageSELL0.0019084302$0.21
10-02 00:01Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Stage 2 Group StageBUY0.0153368747$84.42
09-29 23:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.3499999997$300.00
09-29 22:38Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.2290836652$150.00
09-29 09:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.1699999999$300.00
09-29 05:46Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.7781120719$346.45
09-28 23:37Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.29$50.00
09-27 23:05US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.6819147022$185.00
09-27 18:35Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.64$110.00
09-26 19:58Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.3969999993$130.00
09-22 22:53Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?BUY0.173977695$130.00