TinTin777
0xa91b611a9148d39b101374f2a1d5fe53f780a5e0
- Realised P&L
- $192.90
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $662.14
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.848 | 0.865 | $203.99 | +$3.98 |
| US recession by end of 2026? · No | 0.707 | 0.915 | $191.33 | +$43.46 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? · No | 0.820 | 0.875 | $106.71 | +$6.71 |
| Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31? · No | 0.920 | 0.910 | $98.91 | −$1.09 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.550 | 0.495 | $45.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.077 | $16.21 | −$23.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.94at 0.820Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$53.55at 0.843EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$39.69at 0.862SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
- +$26.84at 0.927Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$26.58at 0.790Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:24 | Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 03:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $50.00 |
| 09-12 05:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 03:34 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | BUY | 0.8199999938 | $100.00 |
| 08-21 03:24 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-13 00:52 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-28 00:44 | GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 03:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.8 | $440.79 |
| 07-22 02:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8510001813 | $4.00 |
| 07-12 01:16 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 09:23 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 07:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 07-06 07:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $108.69 |
| 07-06 07:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9 | $76.00 |
| 07-04 10:52 | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8164180679 | $100.00 |