NewBaz
0xa90093fbf4ff96ea93a94911e0d2106355b35d9a
- Realised P&L
- $-92.50
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $49.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.043 | $22.13 | −$25.78 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.018 | $13.70 | −$48.95 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.065 | $13.54 | −$36.46 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.11at 0.450Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
- +$-5.00at 0.004Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
- +$-62.43at 0.068Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 09:10 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? | BUY | 0.023609629 | $50.00 |
| 05-08 14:31 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0919999984 | $47.91 |
| 04-24 10:23 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $62.65 |
| 04-24 10:13 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999967 | $50.00 |
| 11-09 14:47 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting? | SELL | 0.0257319619 | $37.57 |
| 11-09 14:46 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 11-07 14:35 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 11-07 10:53 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting? | BUY | 0.0684815228 | $100.00 |
| 11-07 09:56 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | SELL | 0.6541605916 | $436.10 |
| 09-18 07:18 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999996 | $300.00 |