PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NewBaz

0xa90093fbf4ff96ea93a94911e0d2106355b35d9a

Realised P&L
$-92.50
Volume
$16.8k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$49.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0920.043$22.13$25.78
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes0.0800.018$13.70$48.95
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2400.065$13.54$36.46
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-25 09:10Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?BUY0.023609629$50.00
05-08 14:31Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0919999984$47.91
04-24 10:23Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?BUY0.08$62.65
04-24 10:13Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.2399999967$50.00
11-09 14:47Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?SELL0.0257319619$37.57
11-09 14:46Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?SELL0.002$5.00
11-07 14:35Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?BUY0.004$10.00
11-07 10:53Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?BUY0.0684815228$100.00
11-07 09:56Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?SELL0.6541605916$436.10
09-18 07:18Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?BUY0.4499999996$300.00