PolyBot

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Traders

Golanido

0xa8f878d5027bbf73bb5d34e6db546abc04fe0e46

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$836.7k
Markets traded
313
Open portfolio
$815.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded313
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.8470.915$594.00+$43.99
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.5950.730$217.28+$40.24
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat? · Yes0.7800.845$1.08+$0.08
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat? · Yes0.1000.105$1.05+$0.05
Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat? · Yes0.8700.875$1.01+$0.01
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat? · Yes0.1800.165$0.92$0.08
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026? · No0.1740.000$0.00$150.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$20.00
Epstein client list released by June 30? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$33.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$1.00
Claude 4.8 released by May 31? · No0.4300.000$0.00$200.00
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026? · No0.0620.000$0.00$150.00
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? · No0.0010.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 15:17Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?BUY0.5716954528$100.00
07-24 15:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-09 02:41GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?SELL0.001$1.05
07-09 02:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.127118634$10.00
07-06 22:07GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?BUY0.8802729832$200.00
06-27 18:05Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.001$1.00
06-27 18:04Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.008$1.00
06-27 17:58Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.0699999939$10.00
06-27 15:27Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.7299999679$5.00
06-27 15:26GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1045218119$110.00
06-26 00:44Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.2699998542$1.00
06-26 00:36Will the Republican Party win the OH-08 House seat?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
06-26 00:36Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat?BUY0.1$1.00
06-26 00:36Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
06-26 00:36Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat?BUY0.78$1.00