131071
0xa8b964a5e729d2af6314ca8b7babc8c8cb4b6b7c
- Realised P&L
- $-23.3k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.297Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
- +$638.40at 0.407Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
- +$603.49at 0.603Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$501.28at 0.094Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$248.08at 0.472Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:44 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.5599999789 | $8.50 |
| 09-16 13:43 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.46 |
| 09-16 13:42 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0344251969 | $4.37 |
| 09-16 13:40 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.0539999986 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:40 | Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 20? | SELL | 0.0145130435 | $1.89 |
| 09-16 07:57 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.70 |
| 09-15 22:28 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $214.48 |
| 09-15 22:28 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.3163688159 | $235.33 |
| 09-15 21:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.5899999985 | $58.00 |
| 09-15 21:57 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0390243902 | $2.20 |
| 09-15 21:56 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.047 | $62.62 |
| 09-15 17:32 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.5812065024 | $185.00 |
| 09-15 17:30 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.4100744218 | $189.55 |
| 09-15 13:08 | Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 20? | BUY | 0.084646102 | $11.00 |
| 09-15 13:08 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.3401677961 | $10.54 |