PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

131071

0xa8b964a5e729d2af6314ca8b7babc8c8cb4b6b7c

Realised P&L
$-23.3k
Volume
$1.06M
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$8.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2020.504$5.0k+$3.0k
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes0.4870.380$1.6k$444.76
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1340.090$674.17$327.16
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0990.060$605.16$396.82
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes0.0620.039$314.12$186.22
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.2140.115$268.70$232.35
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0760.035$230.21$270.69
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.5820.335$144.65$106.85
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$4.0k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? · Yes0.2070.000$0.00$632.91
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes0.3440.000$0.00$154.43
Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$69.80
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? · Yes0.1310.000$0.00$379.18
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$370.50
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$201.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:44Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.5599999789$8.50
09-16 13:43Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.03$3.46
09-16 13:42Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0344251969$4.37
09-16 13:40Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.0539999986$1.00
09-16 13:40Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 20?SELL0.0145130435$1.89
09-16 07:57Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.05$5.70
09-15 22:28Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.05$214.48
09-15 22:28Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?SELL0.3163688159$235.33
09-15 21:57Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.5899999985$58.00
09-15 21:57Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0390243902$2.20
09-15 21:56Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.047$62.62
09-15 17:32Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.5812065024$185.00
09-15 17:30Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?SELL0.4100744218$189.55
09-15 13:08Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 20?BUY0.084646102$11.00
09-15 13:08Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?SELL0.3401677961$10.54