PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Challenger-

0xa89e045cad7333377f321a8d5a4da5b1aaf34ab4

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$410.5k
Markets traded
1,685
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,685
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$1.0k+$363.35
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9210.973$972.45+$51.50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8200.895$447.50+$37.50
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.962$384.60+$40.60
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9400.997$373.69+$21.19
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$286.65$363.35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.864$215.87+$38.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.935$140.25+$65.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5900.935$129.03+$47.61
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.955$98.34+$7.72
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0790.041$20.50$19.00
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.1450.091$7.91$4.70
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0060.005$1.23$0.11
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4400.059$1.17$7.63
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0060.001$0.06$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-04 07:19Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.2$80.00
02-27 12:21Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?SELL0.017$4.25
02-27 12:19Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?SELL0.001$0.25
02-16 01:38Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY0.999$99.90
02-15 09:46Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise MertensBUY0.78$234.00
02-02 21:53Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY0.97$242.50
02-01 08:18RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5BUY0.14$47.18
01-31 09:03Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-31?BUY0.69$207.00
01-27 22:25Solana Up or Down - January 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETBUY0.762$74.95
01-27 21:15Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.397202$38.58
01-26 22:21Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?BUY0.954$381.60
01-19 00:39Trail Blazers vs. KingsBUY0.47$117.50
01-17 08:02Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17?BUY0.6$90.00
01-11 14:41Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-10?SELL0.7846428571$87.88
01-11 11:27Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?BUY0.46$184.00