Challenger-
0xa89e045cad7333377f321a8d5a4da5b1aaf34ab4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $410.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,685
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,685
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$795.00at 0.603Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$770.00at 0.615Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$520.00at 0.480Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$429.99at 0.570Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$425.00at 0.320Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 07:19 | Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.2 | $80.00 |
| 02-27 12:21 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $4.25 |
| 02-27 12:19 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.25 |
| 02-16 01:38 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 02-15 09:46 | Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertens | BUY | 0.78 | $234.00 |
| 02-02 21:53 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $242.50 |
| 02-01 08:18 | RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.14 | $47.18 |
| 01-31 09:03 | Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-31? | BUY | 0.69 | $207.00 |
| 01-27 22:25 | Solana Up or Down - January 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.762 | $74.95 |
| 01-27 21:15 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.397202 | $38.58 |
| 01-26 22:21 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.954 | $381.60 |
| 01-19 00:39 | Trail Blazers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.47 | $117.50 |
| 01-17 08:02 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-17? | BUY | 0.6 | $90.00 |
| 01-11 14:41 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-10? | SELL | 0.7846428571 | $87.88 |
| 01-11 11:27 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11? | BUY | 0.46 | $184.00 |