Yaroslav585
0xa863d96bfd0e6fca0324d43f07e3ff5d2f485d68
- Realised P&L
- $-321.95
- Volume
- $53.5k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.040 | $824.92 | +$449.02 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.116 | $394.27 | −$374.26 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.313 | 0.115 | $218.45 | −$376.94 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.041 | $214.79 | −$288.52 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.021 | $173.50 | −$483.53 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.075 | $79.55 | −$270.45 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.022 | $7.88 | −$2.27 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$303.93at 0.270Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
- +$30.94at 0.117Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-646.81at 0.209Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 17:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.029 | $10.15 |
| 10-22 02:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $72.90 |
| 10-22 01:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.45 |
| 10-22 01:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0149951245 | $15.38 |
| 10-22 01:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $385.89 |
| 10-18 20:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.700225998 | $169.79 |
| 10-17 00:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $74.40 |
| 10-16 23:09 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 10-15 11:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0259700041 | $53.02 |
| 10-15 11:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $86.00 |
| 10-14 12:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $53.90 |
| 08-06 02:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $210.00 |
| 07-16 12:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1289889559 | $255.16 |
| 07-16 12:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $509.40 |
| 07-16 12:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $51.00 |