PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Yaroslav585

0xa863d96bfd0e6fca0324d43f07e3ff5d2f485d68

Realised P&L
$-321.95
Volume
$53.5k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration90.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0180.040$824.92+$449.02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2250.116$394.27−$374.26
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3130.115$218.45−$376.94
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0960.041$214.79−$288.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.021$173.50−$483.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.075$79.55−$270.45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0290.022$7.88−$2.27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 17:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.029$10.15
10-22 02:21Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$72.90
10-22 01:47Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.018$0.45
10-22 01:39Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0149951245$15.38
10-22 01:28Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$385.89
10-18 20:20Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.700225998$169.79
10-17 00:12Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.62$74.40
10-16 23:09Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.62$62.00
10-15 11:57Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0259700041$53.02
10-15 11:56Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$86.00
10-14 12:34Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$53.90
08-06 02:06Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$210.00
07-16 12:17Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1289889559$255.16
07-16 12:15Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999999$509.40
07-16 12:10Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$51.00