PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

7203

0xa7496c149585af67a6b31e08bc33797459f06a65

Realised P&L
$151.27
Volume
$211.2k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5540.655$3.0k+$460.26
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.011$331.14$323.05
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.005$55.00$35.00
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.009$8.50$0.50
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No0.9590.000$0.00$95.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 08:41Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.52$260.00
06-02 08:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5199999983$100.00
05-31 10:44US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.985$98.50
05-29 11:07Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5672839028$1.9k
05-25 12:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?SELL0.992$99.20
05-04 11:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?BUY0.879$87.90
05-04 11:10US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.83$83.00
04-06 06:38US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.959$40.83
04-01 08:23US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.995$2.1k
03-30 19:13US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.953$2.0k
03-30 19:12Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?SELL0.0891795832$28.80
03-15 19:46Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.9640391012$54.49
03-15 19:19Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.037$3.65
03-15 19:15Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.07$5.99
03-15 19:13Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.22$22.00