PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

7203

0xa7496c149585af67a6b31e08bc33797459f06a65

Realised P&L
$764.45
Volume
$212.1k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5640.775$3.8k+$1.0k
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.013$359.94$294.26
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.004$45.00$45.00
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1450.100$10.00$4.50
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.009$8.50$0.50
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No0.9590.000$0.00$95.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 21:54Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$241.50
08-20 18:22NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.52$57.68
06-02 08:41Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.52$260.00
06-02 08:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5199999983$100.00
05-31 10:44US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.985$98.50
05-29 11:07Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5672839028$1.9k
05-25 12:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?SELL0.992$99.20
05-04 11:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?BUY0.879$87.90
05-04 11:10US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.83$83.00
04-06 06:38US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.959$40.83
04-01 08:23US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.995$2.1k
03-30 19:13US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.953$2.0k
03-30 19:12Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?SELL0.0891795832$28.80
03-15 19:46Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.9640391012$54.49
03-15 19:19Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.037$3.65