MarySmithPro
0xa738ea5013bd4eec815610f79c231ac20cc2424a
- Realised P&L
- $88.35
- Volume
- $61.6k
- Markets traded
- 669
- Open portfolio
- $97.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded669
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.79at 0.010Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$169.64at 0.011US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
- +$156.77at 0.018Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$108.51at 0.178Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$26.25at 0.163Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 07:04 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $3.00 |
| 10-21 07:03 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.7063897231 | $21.17 |
| 10-20 22:25 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3669972945 | $11.00 |
| 10-20 22:21 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 22:21 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 22:06 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0519999997 | $6.00 |
| 10-19 13:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $15.00 |
| 10-19 13:13 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 13:12 | Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 23:22 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.67 |
| 10-05 22:39 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 10-05 22:38 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 22:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.069999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 22:30 | Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 22:29 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.00 |