PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

-67-

0xa6f2b401c3afaaf98b3c9781a5bdfd0068551255

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$470.8k
Markets traded
592
Open portfolio
$253.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded592
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0030.001$50.32$229.95
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$50.00$50.00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0890.043$46.75$51.15
ECB rate cut in 2026? · Yes0.1200.045$36.00$60.00
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$24.75$74.25
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$20.00+$0.00
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$17.50$87.50
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0240.002$3.00$45.00
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0140.001$2.25$60.75
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0180.001$2.00$70.00
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0530.001$1.00$105.00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$96.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$156.69
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$95.30
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO? · No0.0520.000$0.00$236.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 15:24Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.006$1.00
07-01 10:56Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.024$96.00
06-29 08:11Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.061$30.50
06-24 14:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.02314628$5.79
06-24 14:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.024$8.40
06-23 13:35Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.072$100.80
06-23 13:34Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.045$96.75
06-11 21:56Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?SELL0.01$0.06
06-11 21:55Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?SELL0.010340824$2.76
06-09 09:45Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?BUY0.06$11.76
05-21 15:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.057$11.40
05-08 08:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.27$108.00
05-05 10:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.16$96.00
04-23 15:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.032$51.20
04-08 15:23Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.018$1.51