Cryptodeadbeat
0xa6ecc1333fe643088c9fcd525f80257a7a0514e2
- Realised P&L
- $-494.63
- Volume
- $45.6k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.590 | 0.595 | $2.2k | +$19.41 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.080 | $279.31 | −$351.69 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.160 | $153.68 | −$83.92 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.045 | $37.88 | −$47.11 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $18.27 | −$54.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.49at 0.630Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:45 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 09-17 12:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6 | $2.0k |
| 09-15 11:22 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5299999975 | $99.24 |
| 08-28 22:53 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $48.65 |
| 08-28 22:37 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $9.65 |
| 08-28 22:34 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $14.78 |
| 08-27 01:08 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4899999979 | $110.07 |
| 07-21 22:31 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 12:20 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999985 | $50.00 |
| 05-10 07:47 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2469999974 | $63.20 |
| 04-25 21:34 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1794840008 | $601.00 |
| 03-20 12:30 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.181999996 | $30.00 |
| 03-20 12:28 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.6299999991 | $40.00 |
| 03-20 12:23 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999967 | $30.00 |
| 03-11 19:58 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2549999986 | $100.00 |