Cryptodeadbeat
0xa6ecc1333fe643088c9fcd525f80257a7a0514e2
- Realised P&L
- $-27.83
- Volume
- $48.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.599 | 0.725 | $3.0k | +$519.89 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.120 | $441.75 | −$204.76 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.153 | $281.03 | −$96.06 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.027 | $28.35 | +$0.00 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $18.27 | −$54.78 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.540 | 0.641 | $7.13 | +$1.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.49at 0.630Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$-51.32at 0.101Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:37 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1581811746 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 22:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 22:28 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1589999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 10:57 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.118 | $11.00 |
| 10-26 10:53 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $200.00 |
| 10-19 02:35 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.539999964 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 01:09 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.165 | $49.50 |
| 09-18 22:56 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.076 | $4.52 |
| 09-18 14:44 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.027 | $28.35 |
| 09-18 14:19 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $33.68 |
| 09-17 14:45 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 09-17 12:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6 | $2.0k |
| 09-15 11:22 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5299999975 | $99.24 |
| 08-28 22:53 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $48.65 |
| 08-28 22:37 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $9.65 |