PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cryptodeadbeat

0xa6ecc1333fe643088c9fcd525f80257a7a0514e2

Realised P&L
$-494.63
Volume
$45.6k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5900.595$2.2k+$19.41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1800.080$279.31$351.69
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2470.160$153.68$83.92
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1010.045$37.88$47.11
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0020.001$18.27$54.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:45Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.16$6.40
09-17 12:412026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6$2.0k
09-15 11:222026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5299999975$99.24
08-28 22:53Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$48.65
08-28 22:37Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$9.65
08-28 22:34Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$14.78
08-27 01:082026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4899999979$110.07
07-21 22:31Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
05-22 12:20Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999985$50.00
05-10 07:47Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2469999974$63.20
04-25 21:34Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1794840008$601.00
03-20 12:30Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.181999996$30.00
03-20 12:28Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.6299999991$40.00
03-20 12:23Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999967$30.00
03-11 19:58Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2549999986$100.00