qsezcf
0xa6ec9857fa22ab6021e6c37b71cded51003773f4
- Realised P&L
- $2.66
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 318
- Open portfolio
- $40.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded318
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.52at 0.615Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$17.24at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$8.09at 0.110Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$7.00at 0.125Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
- +$6.69at 0.110Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 21:00 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9369999869 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:59 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 20:58 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:57 | Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? | BUY | 0.1238095097 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:55 | Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 20:54 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9129999717 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:53 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:52 | Trump renames AI by October 31? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:51 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1729999946 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:51 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 20:51 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 20:50 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.538999875 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:50 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9839991892 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:49 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9509999905 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:49 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.049 | $1.09 |