mk-h
0xa6a62116dfcaef6fb3de00f19a095bebb6318bc8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $37.9k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $961.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.473Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
- +$638.46at 0.296Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
- +$268.19at 0.234Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
- +$185.69at 0.401Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?
- +$184.80at 0.413Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 16:03 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 10-29 15:53 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 10-29 15:50 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 10-29 15:49 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.47 | $7.05 |
| 10-29 15:47 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.32 | $8.00 |
| 10-29 15:45 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 10-29 15:38 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 10-06 04:22 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-06 04:21 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 10-06 04:21 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 08:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.816 | $8.16 |
| 09-17 15:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 09-17 15:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-17 15:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 09-17 15:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |