0xa68984a65B4b6237c4272bE4273715bA47164253-1767899487699
0xa68984a65b4b6237c4272be4273715ba47164253
- Realised P&L
- $-120.16
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 531
- Open portfolio
- $26.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded531
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.15at 0.092Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia?
- +$17.13at 0.425Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$16.82at 0.159Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$13.90at 0.533Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
- +$10.58at 0.696Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 17:42 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.6259999592 | $3.10 |
| 09-19 16:42 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999742 | $3.53 |
| 09-19 16:42 | Will no one dissent the October Fed decision? | BUY | 0.4399999797 | $3.47 |
| 09-19 15:42 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2625560961 | $2.73 |
| 09-19 15:42 | Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999667 | $3.59 |
| 09-19 15:42 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.2659999935 | $3.54 |
| 09-19 15:42 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September? | BUY | 0.0439999997 | $2.14 |
| 09-18 23:17 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | SELL | 0.7453752182 | $17.08 |
| 09-18 23:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.434 | $17.36 |
| 09-08 00:17 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-08 00:17 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-08 00:17 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 08-25 22:04 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 08-16 19:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.708 | $28.32 |
| 08-08 00:22 | Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | BUY | 0.2949999459 | $3.00 |