18in36out
0xa684e6a0913bd5f9d038d012e27e95f20c35a33f
- Realised P&L
- $9.2k
- Volume
- $235.3k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $109.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.823 | 0.895 | $54.6k | +$4.4k |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.970 | 0.989 | $30.5k | +$557.15 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.955 | $23.9k | +$2.1k |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.915 | $417.92 | +$11.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$358.40at 0.660US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$246.43at 0.984Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
- +$233.47at 0.986US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
- +$202.11at 0.932Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
- +$168.12at 0.963Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.3k |
| 09-05 19:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $174.30 |
| 08-27 13:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $268.00 |
| 08-27 04:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $378.00 |
| 08-26 14:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $144.90 |
| 08-26 14:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $245.70 |
| 08-26 14:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3726821862 | $368.21 |
| 08-26 14:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $37.20 |
| 08-26 08:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $424.84 |
| 08-24 12:03 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.966 | $483.00 |
| 08-24 09:26 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.966 | $144.99 |
| 08-23 14:08 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.968 | $4.0k |
| 08-23 09:09 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $301.13 |
| 08-23 08:39 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.967 | $8.7k |
| 08-23 08:32 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.966 | $3.7k |