PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa6620d063109f9d210f9d06f7edeb7a3515dced6

Realised P&L
$-143.41
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$32.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? · No0.2600.295$8.33+$0.99
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes0.1000.079$7.30$2.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.9001.000$3.66+$0.37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · No0.9301.000$3.13+$0.22
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6200.855$3.01+$0.83
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026? · No0.9401.000$2.63+$0.16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5210.541$2.27+$0.08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · No0.4700.755$1.85+$0.70
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0920.004$0.66$12.95
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5110.000$0.00$1.88
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$1.88
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$1.59
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.6800.000$0.00$6.27
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:52Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5229997873$1.05
09-15 21:52US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.85$0.53
09-15 17:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.469999906$1.15
09-15 17:47US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.85$1.25
09-14 17:26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5189999508$1.14
09-14 17:26Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?SELL0.903$1.08
09-05 06:52Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.36$0.18
09-05 06:20Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.29$0.04
09-05 06:20Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.29$0.17
09-05 06:20Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.29$0.06
09-04 18:52Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.75$1.07
09-04 04:56Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?SELL0.938$1.02
08-04 13:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.08$1.08
08-04 12:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.1099999295$1.28
08-03 13:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.8999997616$1.51