0xa53CAe3e86FC47a197d367eeA035a12799cA44aa-1787143044605
0xa53cae3e86fc47a197d367eea035a12799ca44aa
- Realised P&L
- $18.02
- Volume
- $746.04
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $195.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.06at 0.893Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
- +$1.43at 0.875Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
- +$0.05at 0.967Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
- +$0.00at 0.930Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
- +$-0.03at 0.856Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 22:56 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5439999824 | $2.97 |
| 09-16 22:42 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SELL | 0.926 | $0.23 |
| 09-16 22:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.7399998897 | $1.61 |
| 09-16 00:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5499998644 | $1.42 |
| 09-16 00:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5366482652 | $1.45 |
| 09-16 00:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5356629803 | $1.32 |
| 09-15 23:13 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.7799999624 | $2.49 |
| 09-15 23:11 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.8499999897 | $4.12 |
| 09-15 23:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5309998493 | $1.36 |
| 09-15 23:09 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.25 |
| 09-15 23:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.7059999131 | $1.69 |
| 09-15 23:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.864 | $9.68 |
| 09-15 23:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.7109999872 | $1.84 |
| 09-14 00:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5149999759 | $1.07 |