PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa53CAe3e86FC47a197d367eeA035a12799cA44aa-1787143044605

0xa53cae3e86fc47a197d367eea035a12799ca44aa

Realised P&L
$18.02
Volume
$746.04
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$195.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8599999656$2.00
09-16 22:56Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5439999824$2.97
09-16 22:42Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?SELL0.926$0.23
09-16 22:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.7399998897$1.61
09-16 00:38Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5499998644$1.42
09-16 00:34Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5366482652$1.45
09-16 00:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5356629803$1.32
09-15 23:13Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.7799999624$2.49
09-15 23:11Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.8499999897$4.12
09-15 23:10Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5309998493$1.36
09-15 23:09Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.84$5.25
09-15 23:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.7059999131$1.69
09-15 23:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.864$9.68
09-15 23:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.7109999872$1.84
09-14 00:46Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5149999759$1.07