Kulturvirus
0xa535a98acd4d857f87bad8d67424ea414240a220
- Realised P&L
- $94.95
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 395
- Open portfolio
- $498.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded395
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.11at 0.713Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
- +$27.40at 0.730Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$20.33at 0.446Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$13.68at 0.539Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$13.42at 0.659Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 08:07 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.8689999896 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 08:07 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.8689999896 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 08:07 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.8689999896 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 08:07 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.8689999896 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 08:07 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.8689999896 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 08:06 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.8689999896 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 08:06 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.8689999896 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 08:06 | Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 06:02 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:01 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:00 | Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 05:58 | Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.9946408163 | $85.29 |
| 09-20 20:18 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $5.10 |
| 09-20 20:14 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999842 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 20:14 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999842 | $10.00 |