0xA50C5C5D7834E665deF9f85309DBf957D644f75D-1771592092775
0xa50c5c5d7834e665def9f85309dbf957d644f75d
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $63.8k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.319US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.258Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.620Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$867.60at 0.480 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$709.09at 0.220Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 11:57 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.027954799 | $30.00 |
| 07-29 10:01 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0632022514 | $1000.00 |
| 07-29 10:00 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3580690846 | $2.0k |
| 07-28 18:06 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4299999998 | $500.00 |
| 07-26 12:22 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0771545405 | $200.00 |
| 06-22 16:28 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.0424891609 | $100.00 |
| 06-18 15:06 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.3872248879 | $300.00 |
| 06-17 16:55 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.5599999996 | $500.00 |
| 05-27 15:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.026 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 15:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 15:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $300.00 |
| 04-28 16:13 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999993 | $200.00 |
| 04-07 21:07 | Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | BUY | 0.2199999992 | $200.00 |
| 03-27 08:44 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.6199999994 | $300.00 |
| 03-27 08:44 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1699999993 | $200.00 |