PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA50C5C5D7834E665deF9f85309DBf957D644f75D-1771592092775

0xa50c5c5d7834e665def9f85309dbf957d644f75d

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$63.8k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3580.225$1.3k$746.05
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0630.025$403.47$596.53
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.4300.265$308.14$191.86
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1600.038$72.19$227.81
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0280.015$15.56$14.44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0800.004$5.63$94.38
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$100.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$100.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00$300.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$50.00
Iran leadership change by March 31? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$300.00
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$50.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$100.00
US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes0.1690.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 11:57Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.027954799$30.00
07-29 10:01Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0632022514$1000.00
07-29 10:00Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.3580690846$2.0k
07-28 18:06Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.4299999998$500.00
07-26 12:22Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?BUY0.0771545405$200.00
06-22 16:28Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.0424891609$100.00
06-18 15:06 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.3872248879$300.00
06-17 16:55 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.5599999996$500.00
05-27 15:30Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.026$100.00
05-27 15:30Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.08$100.00
05-27 15:29Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.16$300.00
04-28 16:13US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?BUY0.1799999993$200.00
04-07 21:07Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?BUY0.2199999992$200.00
03-27 08:44US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.6199999994$300.00
03-27 08:44US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.1699999993$200.00