PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

eredfgfg

0xa4d9750702ecc8c6cce574c6bb0ca0f31b3496ed

Realised P&L
$16.48
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$150.41

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.982$16.98+$0.34
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? · No0.5000.931$11.17+$5.17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · No0.7201.000$10.00+$2.80
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · No0.5931.000$10.00+$4.07
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.8301.000$9.99+$1.70
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.8210.977$9.77+$1.56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8850.960$9.12+$0.71
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9190.961$8.84+$0.38
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8870.971$8.25+$0.71
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat? · Yes0.9350.964$8.19+$0.24
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.9001.000$7.81+$0.78
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.958$6.84+$0.27
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.940$6.58+$0.63
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · No0.8000.815$6.17+$0.11
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.947$5.59+$0.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-02 10:17Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?SELL0.301$3.01
03-17 08:07Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats?BUY0.26$2.60
03-04 02:30US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY0.97$51.41
03-03 08:11Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$6.23
03-03 08:10Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.973$4.87
03-03 08:04Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.78$5.46
03-03 05:48Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$6.57
03-03 05:47Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$5.31
03-03 05:45Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$5.95
03-03 05:44Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.9$7.03
03-03 05:43MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.84$5.04
03-03 05:41Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?BUY0.8$6.06
03-03 05:29Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?BUY0.96$4.80
03-03 05:20Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?BUY0.7$3.61
03-03 05:13Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the Oscars?BUY0.976$7.81