eredfgfg
0xa4d9750702ecc8c6cce574c6bb0ca0f31b3496ed
- Realised P&L
- $16.48
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $150.41
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.49at 0.300Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$11.76at 0.500Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
- +$6.23at 0.690US strike on Colombia by March 31?
- +$6.11at 0.500Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.10at 0.500EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 10:17 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | SELL | 0.301 | $3.01 |
| 03-17 08:07 | Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.60 |
| 03-04 02:30 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | BUY | 0.97 | $51.41 |
| 03-03 08:11 | Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $6.23 |
| 03-03 08:10 | Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.973 | $4.87 |
| 03-03 08:04 | Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $5.46 |
| 03-03 05:48 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.57 |
| 03-03 05:47 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.31 |
| 03-03 05:45 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.95 |
| 03-03 05:44 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.9 | $7.03 |
| 03-03 05:43 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.04 |
| 03-03 05:41 | Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.06 |
| 03-03 05:29 | Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 03-03 05:20 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.61 |
| 03-03 05:13 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the Oscars? | BUY | 0.976 | $7.81 |