PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Hoechst

0xa48525692d9c0fc2ece45fad35eff50799fc7b85

Realised P&L
$-10.5k
Volume
$1.02M
Markets traded
6,437
Open portfolio
$693.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,437
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.5600.555$49.55$0.45
Will Japan win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.5470.535$44.04$0.96
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6500.645$29.77$0.23
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No0.3100.295$14.27$0.73
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx · Indiana Fever0.6970.590$12.70$2.30
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.5240.540$10.31+$0.31
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5 · Under0.5420.545$10.06+$0.06
Will NJ/NY Gotham FC win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.8700.865$9.96$0.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.865$9.94$0.06
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · No0.8090.803$9.93$0.07
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C · Paper Rex0.5600.555$9.91$0.09
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Yes0.4500.445$9.89$0.11
Korea Republic vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5200.510$9.81$0.19
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat? · Yes0.7650.750$9.80$0.20
Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5 · Under0.6300.615$9.76$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 22:30Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?BUY0.3699999867$5.00
09-23 22:28Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
09-23 22:27Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.3299999815$5.00
09-23 22:27Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?BUY0.2279999954$5.00
09-23 22:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.659999963$5.00
09-23 22:26Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.5599999642$5.00
09-23 22:25Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.5599999642$5.00
09-23 22:24Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 24?BUY0.64$5.00
09-23 22:24Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.119999999$5.00
09-23 22:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.649999974$5.00
09-23 22:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.649999974$5.00
09-23 22:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.649999974$5.00
09-23 22:24Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group CBUY0.5599999642$5.00
09-23 22:23Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.649999974$5.00
09-23 22:23Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.5599999642$5.00