PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

quantitativecredit

0xa44b5d28336bc8802ab308961f0938d18de1eb27

Realised P&L
$310.38
Volume
$318.7k
Markets traded
452
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded452
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6700.938$540.29+$154.37
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · No0.8000.795$450.76$2.83
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes0.8220.589$432.55$171.62
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? · No0.8740.976$98.53+$10.25
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? · No0.9400.964$46.25+$1.13
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.035$3.12$52.95
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5300.085$2.55$13.35
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · No0.7500.948$1.90+$0.40
Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026? · No0.1501.000$1.00+$0.85
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2900.895$0.90+$0.60
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3700.775$0.78+$0.41
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8400.745$0.74$0.10
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.3400.044$0.58$3.84
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2400.395$0.40+$0.15
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7800.130$0.39$1.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 09:32Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.56$454.16
04-11 19:18Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?SELL0.85$274.55
04-11 19:17Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?SELL0.85$9.35
04-10 14:42Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.83$277.22
04-09 21:38Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026SELL0.78$85.80
04-09 21:37Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026SELL0.78$81.90
04-09 09:33Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8$108.80
04-08 12:42Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$115.60
04-07 17:11Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY0.65$1.0k
04-07 12:47Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026BUY0.8$625.60
03-31 02:31Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?SELL0.72$635.76
03-31 02:01Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?SELL0.33$301.29
03-29 19:44Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?BUY0.52$474.76
03-29 17:52Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?BUY0.69$609.27
03-24 08:21Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.72$97.20