quantitativecredit
0xa44b5d28336bc8802ab308961f0938d18de1eb27
- Realised P&L
- $310.38
- Volume
- $318.7k
- Markets traded
- 452
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded452
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$614.46at 0.230Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces
- +$524.16at 0.220Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers
- +$325.60at 0.560Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 6 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
- +$309.40at 0.110Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-20?
- +$265.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 11AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 09:32 | Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.56 | $454.16 |
| 04-11 19:18 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $274.55 |
| 04-11 19:17 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $9.35 |
| 04-10 14:42 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $277.22 |
| 04-09 21:38 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.78 | $85.80 |
| 04-09 21:37 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.78 | $81.90 |
| 04-09 09:33 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $108.80 |
| 04-08 12:42 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $115.60 |
| 04-07 17:11 | Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.0k |
| 04-07 12:47 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.8 | $625.60 |
| 03-31 02:31 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.72 | $635.76 |
| 03-31 02:01 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000? | SELL | 0.33 | $301.29 |
| 03-29 19:44 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000? | BUY | 0.52 | $474.76 |
| 03-29 17:52 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $609.27 |
| 03-24 08:21 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $97.20 |