0xA35DfC3e33b9D34Be452cAA3D86ac9923AB75df9-1772901224648
0xa35dfc3e33b9d34be452caa3d86ac9923ab75df9
- Realised P&L
- $-28.49
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 275
- Open portfolio
- $48.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded275
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.64at 0.210US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$35.40at 0.160Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?
- +$23.20at 0.155Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
- +$13.60at 0.320Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 19?
- +$13.10at 0.251Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 19:47 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.30 |
| 10-10 19:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 10-10 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 10-08 18:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-08 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-07 17:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 10-07 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 10-06 13:47 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 10-04 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 10-02 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.55 | $8.24 |
| 10-02 18:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.49 |
| 10-01 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 09-30 18:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.6 | $9.00 |
| 09-29 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |