PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa293C10D02C80a64EE6082C2c296Fc6676aCAde9-1781827487668

0xa293c10d02c80a64ee6082c2c296fc6676acade9

Realised P&L
$3.09
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$10.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Batman: Part II be delayed? · Yes0.1300.425$3.27+$2.27
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7471.000$2.68+$0.68
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0390.019$1.50−$1.50
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? · No0.3300.395$1.20+$0.20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3700.355$0.96−$0.04
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4160.373$0.90−$0.10
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2600.017$0.06−$0.94
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5430.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5240.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Winston-Salem Open: Fabian Marozsan vs James Duckworth · Fabian Marozsan0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-30? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 08:18Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-19 08:18Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-19 08:18Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-19 08:17Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-19 08:17Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
09-19 08:17Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-19 08:17Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-19 08:16Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-19 08:16Will Persebaya Surabaya win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-19 08:15UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-11 21:52Broncos vs. ChiefsBUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-11 21:52Cowboys vs. GiantsBUY0.59999988$1.00
09-11 21:50Dolphins vs. RaidersBUY0.6099997255$1.00
09-11 21:50Jets vs. TitansBUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-11 21:49Bears vs. PanthersBUY0.6099998597$1.00