PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ICTRADING

0xa28cea90f23798fcfa4806d0c8927c95fdb3e10f

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$261.4k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9320.941$888.45+$8.03
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.825$744.15+$85.69
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7890.960$714.11+$126.84
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026? · No0.9100.973$131.23+$8.43
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6000.630$12.60+$0.60
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$43.57
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by May 31, 2026? · No0.0620.000$0.00−$6.20
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? · No0.2990.000$0.00−$149.65
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 20:24Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.6$12.00
10-30 02:01Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.91$30.89
10-30 02:01Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.73$73.00
10-28 15:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.95434192$2.9k
10-17 06:52Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?SELL0.61$55.60
10-14 19:53Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$628.25
10-14 19:51Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$42.32
09-29 17:37Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8691686066$313.63
09-28 22:43Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.8917355372$107.90
09-28 22:22Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.9345454545$205.60
09-13 06:30Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?SELL0.810529313$333.05
09-04 09:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.59$590.00
09-04 09:31Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.6316845487$98.32
09-03 23:23Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.9422022537$521.75
09-02 16:35Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2936666057$16.07