0x0tuzicc
0xa278718ad94cfe1231c570aa34aeaff1eab2a443
- Realised P&L
- $-82.87
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 636
- Open portfolio
- $21.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded636
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.27at 0.279Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$38.51at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$20.91at 0.365Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
- +$10.29at 0.310Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$9.63at 0.038Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:13 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | BUY | 0.9329999706 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 05:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.8409999826 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 05:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 05:07 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 05:06 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 05:06 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999926 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 05:04 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:04 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:00 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 16:27 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9869997202 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 16:26 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9549999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 16:25 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 16:23 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.07 |