dachshundowner
0xa22ef98e8ee74240b816398db395e9148377b43a
- Realised P&L
- $-48.54
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 315
- Open portfolio
- $399.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded315
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $50.02 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $50.02 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $50.02 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $50.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $49.98 | +$0.03 |
| Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $49.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $49.75 | −$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $39.86 | +$0.02 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on October 9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.31at 0.904Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 5?
- +$5.26at 0.905BNB Up or Down on October 5?
- +$1.47at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?
- +$0.94at 0.982Ethereum Up or Down on October 5?
- +$0.87at 0.983Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 23:20 | Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 21:47 | De Graafschap vs. Jong FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $17.10 |
| 10-09 21:22 | Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 21:13 | Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.998999981 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 19:59 | Heracles Almelo vs. RKC Waalwijk: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $26.94 |
| 10-09 19:57 | Almere City FC vs. FC Eindhoven: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $28.90 |
| 10-09 19:56 | De Graafschap vs. Jong FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $26.09 |
| 10-09 19:56 | TOP Oss vs. Helmond Sport: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $42.14 |
| 10-09 19:56 | Will De Graafschap vs. Jong FC Utrecht end in a draw? | BUY | 0.998999981 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 19:56 | Will FC Annecy win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.998999981 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 19:54 | Will Jong AZ Alkmaar win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.80 |
| 10-09 19:53 | FC Volendam vs. Vitesse Arnhem: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $12.88 |
| 10-09 19:53 | NAC Breda vs. MVV Maastricht: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 19:25 | Spread: CA Sarmiento (-1.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 18:56 | FC Nordsjælland vs. Odense BK: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $33.12 |