PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tedward111

0xa21830f241f888e66c3ed3f144e5fc00793e94cd

Realised P&L
$8.2k
Volume
$1.08M
Markets traded
253
Open portfolio
$8.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded253
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 20:43Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.056$114.67
07-21 05:48Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?SELL0.85$62.90
07-21 05:48Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?SELL0.973$29.29
07-18 18:31Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.61$244.00
07-18 18:30Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.61$122.00
06-21 09:49Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.094$52.17
05-28 21:02Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.34$36.66
05-19 21:05Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.62$868.00
05-19 17:17Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.62$1.1k
05-19 16:54Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.62$744.00
05-19 15:03Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?SELL0.429$76.07
05-19 14:48Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?SELL0.439$90.00
04-28 23:37Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?BUY0.79$163.35
04-12 14:01Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.595$252.26
04-12 14:00Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.604$38.66