PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

grumpytrades

0xa21163fe8f7d7f95ccd2269b6e295ba150dac0e1

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$121.3k
Markets traded
1,171
Open portfolio
$62.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,171
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.2330.264$13.18+$1.50
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2270.238$11.93+$0.57
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.2600.225$11.25$1.75
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.1610.152$7.63$0.42
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7400.735$7.45$0.05
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0890.093$4.67+$0.23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5400.435$4.03$0.97
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.2200.115$1.15$1.05
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1610.020$0.90$6.33
XRP Up or Down - July 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Down0.7700.000$0.00$7.70
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 6? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$5.40
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 9? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$11.20
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group B · RE.Arise0.5070.000$0.00$15.20
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs · Misa Esports0.7630.000$0.00$206.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 12:55Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group ASELL0.999$99.90
09-19 12:52LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsSELL0.999$19.99
09-19 12:39Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group ASELL0.05$1.50
09-19 12:31LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsBUY0.09$2.70
09-19 12:16Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group ABUY0.36$7.20
09-19 12:13LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsBUY0.74$7.40
09-19 01:39Houston vs. Texas TechBUY0.61$61.00
09-19 01:09Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.61$12.20
09-19 00:59Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati RedsSELL0.83$8.30
09-19 00:57Will New York City FC win on 2026-09-18?SELL0.14$7.00
09-19 00:57Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.55$22.00
09-19 00:50Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.16$3.20
09-19 00:42Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.24$7.20
09-19 00:39Will New York City FC vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?BUY0.35$7.00
09-19 00:22Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba PlayoffsBUY0.97$82.45