0xa2028a05795fbf0496289c1dfe1f8bcdfc589b28
0xa2028a05795fbf0496289c1dfe1f8bcdfc589b28
- Realised P&L
- $8.36
- Volume
- $102.79
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $9.42
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.98at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$3.98at 0.237Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
- +$1.76at 0.412Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$1.63at 0.430Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:42 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:40 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 05:39 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 21:39 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 13:31 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 04:55 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 20:20 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:19 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:19 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:59 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:46 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:37 | Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.69899987 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 19:25 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 02:09 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |