0xa1BdB11beA3eD660701b1e394789d8A83d6f880b-1768258636869
0xa1bdb11bea3ed660701b1e394789d8a83d6f880b
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $45.5k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $75.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.027Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$196.53at 0.268Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$82.13at 0.300Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$30.51at 0.375Anthropic IPO before 2027?
- +$25.55at 0.270US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 09-15 21:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 09-15 21:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 11:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.84 |
| 09-11 07:35 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.68 |
| 09-11 07:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 09-05 23:33 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0449719844 | $11.56 |
| 09-04 22:13 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.62 |
| 09-04 22:12 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.06 |
| 09-04 22:11 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.53 |
| 09-04 22:10 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $3.90 |
| 09-04 22:10 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $7.76 |
| 09-04 22:08 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.113 | $5.08 |
| 08-12 22:02 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.01 |
| 08-03 22:35 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.99 |