PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa1BdB11beA3eD660701b1e394789d8A83d6f880b-1768258636869

0xa1bdb11bea3ed660701b1e394789d8a83d6f880b

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$46.2k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$53.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1130.035$8.11−$18.53
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.1800.310$8.06+$3.38
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.2200.273$6.28+$1.22
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? · Yes0.0910.038$5.97−$8.20
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1790.193$3.63+$0.27
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes0.2030.095$3.33−$3.77
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1800.275$2.75+$0.95
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.2400.245$2.45+$0.05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1360.045$2.34−$4.73
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3000.147$2.21−$2.29
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3730.034$2.14−$21.75
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1670.034$1.67−$6.50
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0560.050$1.00−$0.12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0770.021$0.82−$2.26
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2270.048$0.71−$2.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 22:48Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.033$1.72
10-28 22:44Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.056$1.12
10-28 22:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.18$1.80
10-27 23:19Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.05$5.00
10-27 23:19Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
10-27 23:16Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1786477152$3.36
10-27 23:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.04141095$8.28
09-23 21:31Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.3$3.00
09-15 21:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.24$2.40
09-15 21:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.38$3.80
09-15 21:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$15.00
09-12 11:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.22$4.84
09-11 07:35Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.18$4.68
09-11 07:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$3.90
09-05 23:33Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.0449719844$11.56