PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa1BdB11beA3eD660701b1e394789d8A83d6f880b-1768258636869

0xa1bdb11bea3ed660701b1e394789d8a83d6f880b

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$45.5k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$75.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2050.495$33.66+$19.73
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1220.055$11.55$14.09
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes0.2030.255$8.93+$1.82
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1360.065$3.38$3.69
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.2400.310$3.10+$0.70
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3730.042$2.66$21.24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3000.161$2.41$2.09
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1670.035$1.71$6.45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.1800.065$1.69$2.99
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0770.028$1.10$1.98
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.2200.041$0.93$4.13
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? · Yes0.0910.005$0.85$13.32
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2270.055$0.82$2.57
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? · Yes0.0930.034$0.77$1.37
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0700.025$0.77$1.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.24$2.40
09-15 21:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.38$3.80
09-15 21:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$15.00
09-12 11:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.22$4.84
09-11 07:35Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.18$4.68
09-11 07:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$3.90
09-05 23:33Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.0449719844$11.56
09-04 22:13Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.005$0.62
09-04 22:12Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.22$5.06
09-04 22:11Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.006$5.53
09-04 22:10Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.021$3.90
09-04 22:10Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.039$7.76
09-04 22:08Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.113$5.08
08-12 22:02Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.019$1.01
08-03 22:35Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.27$9.99