0xa1BdB11beA3eD660701b1e394789d8A83d6f880b-1768258636869
0xa1bdb11bea3ed660701b1e394789d8a83d6f880b
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $46.2k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $53.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.027Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$196.53at 0.268Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$82.13at 0.300Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$30.51at 0.375Anthropic IPO before 2027?
- +$25.55at 0.270US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 22:48 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $1.72 |
| 10-28 22:44 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.056 | $1.12 |
| 10-28 22:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 10-27 23:19 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 23:19 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 23:16 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1786477152 | $3.36 |
| 10-27 23:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.04141095 | $8.28 |
| 09-23 21:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 21:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 09-15 21:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 09-15 21:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 11:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.84 |
| 09-11 07:35 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.68 |
| 09-11 07:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 09-05 23:33 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0449719844 | $11.56 |