0xa1bC14B70b4c9eEb400508Ddb98A36F1018D3345-1776951735372
0xa1bc14b70b4c9eeb400508ddb98a36f1018d3345
- Realised P&L
- $45.59
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $14.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.81at 0.633Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
- +$10.75at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
- +$9.92at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
- +$4.93at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.62at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 03:27 | FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 03:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 10:03 | Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 10:03 | Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 04:31 | Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 04:31 | Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 15:37 | Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 15:37 | Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 15:36 | Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 02:47 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 02:55 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? | BUY | 0.6189998675 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 03:42 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 07:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 03:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.9869999891 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 02:12 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1229998967 | $1.00 |