0xa1b899d1fcB53061B06BF01FE0972B5f6eBD43B0-1766077798948
0xa1b899d1fcb53061b06bf01fe0972b5f6ebd43b0
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $32.7k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$376.04at 0.218Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
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- +$124.58at 0.612Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$92.00at 0.290Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
- +$67.30at 0.662Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 18:41 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-08 18:41 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-08 18:40 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-08 18:40 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-08 18:40 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-08 18:40 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-08 18:40 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-08 18:40 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-08 18:40 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-08 18:40 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-08 18:39 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-08 18:39 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $9.75 |
| 08-07 18:06 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $172.41 |
| 08-07 13:37 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.416 | $6.24 |
| 08-07 13:37 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.416 | $2.08 |